Tag Archives: RBA and Interest Rates

Aussie Dollar – not drowning waving

May 3, 2012

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The Australian dollar is doing exceptionally well all things considered – it’s a fair to say that with the weakening Australian profile that prompted the RBA to cut rates this week we could have probably expected that the Aussie would at least retest the very important support zone at 1.0220/40. Tonight the key short term region is […]

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RBA Panic? Not on your Nellie!

May 1, 2012

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The RBA has done the right thing and let the inflation outlook give them room to cut rates. The Wordle summary is below and highlights the key drivers of growth and inflation. So in the context of what they said last month, and where the economy is I find it interesting to have read many comments about the […]

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The Australian Dollar remains vulnerable

April 5, 2012

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The Aussie has spent the last 24 hours working off the extreme oversold position on the hourly charts but it continues to remain vulnerable and I remain committed to my view it is going below parity as articulated recently when I said, I’m going to make a big call and say that on the basis of my fundamental […]

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Australian Dollar Outlook – bulls on the run

April 4, 2012

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Well the Chinese PMI bounce faded quickly for the Aussie Dollar didn’t it. As I said on Sunday/Monday, I am looking forward to the next few days trade before Easter because it will tell us a lot about where the market is positioned and what it believes. So we had a brief rally earlier this week but […]

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RBA is going to ease but moving ahead backwards.

April 3, 2012

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It is fairly clear that the Australian economy is softening. It is fairly clear that there is not one but two structural changes occurring in the economy – Mining and Debt reduction or de-leveraging of Households. It is fairly clear that inflation around the globe and in Australia is moderating. It is also fairly clear that Monetary […]

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RBA should cut – the paradox of thrift is killing the economy.

April 3, 2012

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I’m only going to be quick today because readers know my view – the Australian economy is structurally and fundamentally weaker than the aggregate numbers suggest. It is a long term weakness born of the debt binge between 1995 and 2009 which is so evident in the chart above from the RBA’s march Financial Stability […]

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Confidence Slips all over the economy – mining will save us? Hardly!

March 14, 2012

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Rightyo…time to get on my high horse again about the Australian economy and what is not being done by policy makers and the RBA. I live in the Hunter, I worked up until recently as the Treasurer of the dominant Financial Institution in the region, I spend and have spent countless hours, days and weeks getting to know and […]

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Data Vault – A weekly wrap up of key economic releases in Australia and beyond

January 30, 2012

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January 30th 2012 Welcome to our weekly Data Vault. The Vault is put together by our team here at Lighthouse and we offer it as a resource to readers and clients who want to quickly get a feel for the data over the week without having to read a full blog or economic report. It will be […]

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Data Vault – A weekly wrap up of key economic releases in Australia and beyond

January 23, 2012

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January 23rd 2012 Welcome to our weekly Data Vault. The Vault is put together by our team here at Lighthouse and we offer it as a resource to readers and clients who want to quickly get a feel for the data over the week without having to read a full blog or economic report. It will be […]

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Data Vault – A weekly wrap up of key economic releases in Australia and beyond

January 16, 2012

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January 16th 2011 Welcome to our weekly Data Vault. The Vault is put together by our team here at Lighthouse and we offer it as a resource to readers and clients who want to quickly get a feel for the data over the week without having to read a full blog or economic report. It will […]

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